Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 16.210967 18.878006 21.796868 25.221785 29.123409 33.422505 38.510948
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.648753 15.236048 19.575033 25.177062 32.182043 40.612887 51.484794
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.832213 12.685788 17.733353 24.756031 34.188091 46.320537 62.992220
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.869962 10.695878 16.059434 24.005278 35.327270 50.702300 72.939202
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.670445 9.475275 15.133743 23.980596 37.234120 56.068331 84.488759
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.815903 8.581191 14.486845 24.174244 39.341995 61.767367 96.871185
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.812523 7.249958 12.937498 22.723248 38.725253 63.315577 103.198646
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.418284 6.866972 12.834416 23.516356 41.618506 70.325250 118.240555
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.167011 6.689212 13.036554 24.810533 45.409171 78.998581 136.499587
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.684163 5.988870 12.213056 24.210404 45.927104 82.403959 146.537640
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.211250 5.219045 11.144480 23.017276 45.254194 83.720801 153.161498
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.092375 5.159325 11.414973 24.327708 49.148959 93.053766 173.902718
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.014399 5.196675 11.923433 26.236249 54.483085 105.582720 201.577054
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.771808 4.823512 11.552464 26.389060 56.582911 112.646497 220.418677
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.520170 4.375848 10.952240 25.989400 57.558903 117.734897 236.111311
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.281946 3.907080 10.225633 25.212772 57.672806 121.181708 248.998041
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.127548 3.621217 9.869482 25.188530 59.306644 127.629067 267.942788
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.006856 3.400061 9.630512 25.391241 61.425369 135.167970 289.488836
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.817752 2.935494 8.709718 23.874550 59.645455 134.754631 295.458267
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.760858 2.856030 8.763641 24.703665 63.152452 145.374737 324.083710
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.729866 2.851868 9.017146 26.056318 67.975505 159.073422 359.820422
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.627803 2.588498 8.516822 25.429115 68.129846 162.901381 375.530363
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.520229 2.275401 7.818017 24.181952 66.666583 163.105761 383.655495